With Hillary Clinton leading in the Democratic primaries and caucuses and Trump leading the Republican pack, it seems incredibly unlikely that the GOP will manage to get someone into office. In nearly all of the current polls, Hillary would beat Donald Trump. But bear in mind that these polls only reflect popular opinion, not necessarily the electoral vote.
So it appears to be, given the current course, that Hillary Clinton will be the 45th President of the United States (God forbid). It would be a slim chance, but should Donald J Trump somehow manage to win the election, America is still doomed. And the way it seems to go is that most people have resigned themselves to four years of President Hillary. There, however, remains a third course of action. One that is more favorable to the GOP.
Should Donald Trump win the candidacy, the Republican Establishment will undoubtedly not support him. So it is very likely that they could choose their own candidate to run, a Mitt Romney type person. Also, according to the Washington Post, the opposite is true. If Ted Cruz wins the nomination, Trump has declared that he will run as an independent. This would create a splintered Republican vote, and appears as if it would easily concede the White House to the Democrats. But that simply isn’t so.
Similar to the Republican situation, is the Democratic race. Currently, Hillary Clinton is in the lead, and through the safety valve that are Super delegates, the Establishment has already made its candidate known. But that doesn’t solve the problem of Bernie Sanders. Bernie defines he and his followers as a “grassroots” movement, that he doesn’t need establishment support to win the White House. Because of this, Bernie has already made it known that he will run as an independent, come November. And so, there is the very real possibility that there will be four candidates available for the public to vote for in November.
Now let us take a break to remember exactly how the President gets elected. Yes, there is a popular vote, but in reality, that doesn’t count for anything. What really matters is the Electoral Vote of the Electoral College. Each state is given a set number of votes to their Electoral College based on population (Nebraska has 5). There are 538 electoral votes in total, so that means a candidate needs 270 (exactly one more than half) to win the Presidency.
For the sake of argument, let us assume that there are going to be four candidates available in November. Then, given that there are four candidates available, there will undoubtedly be a significant amount of splintering in the votes. Perhaps the most we’ve seen in the last century. With so much splintering, there is a very likely chance that no single candidate will get the necessary 270 delegates to win.
If and when no candidate receives a majority of delegates from the Electoral College, the vote goes to the House Of Representatives. The House is comprised of 435 representatives and each receives one vote. Currently, there is a Republican majority in the House, one they’re not likely to lose at all in the coming cycle. Speaker Paul Ryan will undoubtedly use his Whips to round up votes for whomever the Establishment wants to be President.
It might seem like a long shot, but it is a very real possibility. The election could very well go to the House. And if it does, maybe, just maybe, we won’t get stuck with any of the crazy candidates we have now.